Indian Real Estate has been defined as wary for the last few
months and may continue to do so for the next few months. It is easy to
maintain that the global recessionary has had a hand in this and point-fingers
on the Government's ineptitude to bring about a change similar to the promises
of the American President Barack Obama.
The RBI's monetary policy in tandem with the economic
stimuli in December 2008 and early January 2009 was aiming for liquidity in the
market to wipe damp consumer sentiments. However, blame it on petty politics or
the over-cautions approach of financial institutions or the ham-fisted
decisions in risk management of entrepreneurs and businessmen; it seems that
the economic atyachar may continue.
The fact of the matter is that policies by the Government
and the RBI were not accepted in spirit. The Indian Institute of Plagiarism, a
disease which has spread from Bollywood to money matters saw Indian giants
seeking further help from the Government. In a letter dated the 5 of February
2009 to the Maharashtra Chief Minister Ashok Rao Chavan from the Maharashtra
Chamber of Rousing Industry (MCRI), it requested a Stimulus Package for ‘RealEstate Sector' demanding tax cuts and reduction of FSI rates. MCRI satirically
had held an exhibition for affordable housing in Mumbai which was quoted
"a success". It is hard to refurbish success with hidden sordid
agendas.
The RBI's move in reduction of interest rates was to
facilitate home loan rates. SBI, like a supreme opportunist, announced a
reduction of home loans to 8%. Other factors that were underplayed was the
money margin, the loan-to-value rate increased drastically and also Credit
Information Bureau (India) Limited (CIBIL), its illegiti- mate offspring
tightened its noose to curtail mass borrowers through strict regulations on
borrowers. This would ensure that the loans are not disbursed as per the
fortitude of the stimulus packages or the RBI's interest rates reduction. It is
important to note that the special discounted rates are applicable only for new
customers and for a limited period, after which prevailing rates will be applicable.
SBI's offer of 8% is only applicable for only one year and
is valid up to May 2009. HDFC's special rate of 9.75% for a Rs 20 lakh loan
with a 20 year tenure will be offered only up to the end of February 2009,
beyond which prevailing rates will apply. The length of time for which these
lower rates can be availed of may be insufficient to make a decision on buying property, and therefore may not translate into transactions.
HDFC marks the move by SBI as a 'gimmick'. SBI retorted that
the move was to kick start demand in the market and was primarily meant for
existing customers. With SBI and RDFC fighting like a soon-to-be- divorced
couple, the inconsequent worry is what about their destructive son,CIBIL.
The Government role
The Interim Budget also received a lot of criticism which
the acting finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said was for the "aam aadmi".
This can only be assumed to the overwhelming advantage rural India has had in
shaping poll out- comes.
A laissezfaire economy talks about a minimum government
intervention. Debates falred when, in 1969, 14 banks were nationalized by Prime
Minister Mrs. Indira Gandhi. We have come a long way from the clutches of
national bankruptcy in 1991 when the Finance Minister and the current Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh broke the shackles of Socialism and let the economy
loose towards Privatization. It has been a tedious journey since then and today
adequate freedoms are promised by the state to private sectors. But then it's
a system of checks and balances that avoids extremist philosophies like An ar c
h o- Capitalism or Market Anarchism. The Government has done its best to
'stimulate' the economy but if private sectors, like the one of Real Estate,
need greater levels offoreplay then it may as well give up or chose ground
breaking innovative avenues.
Furthermore, the Government has exercised its leniency
towards foreign investment as well. Foreign investors who have less than 50%
stake in an Indian company are treated as domestic equity thus limiting the
definition of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). This widens the horizons for
non- Indian investors but also keeps a vigilant glance in terms of its
characterization. There has been denigration on some quarters that this may
lead to expo- sure of the Indian economy to the global recessionary trends. But
this neglects that foreign investors who have the capital to invest but cannot
do so in Europe or Obama's America have India as a savior. It is a symbi- otic
relationship.
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